The decision laboratory

Decision is a science.
We practice it.

Every school of decision science · adversarial auditing · measured robustness

The laboratory owl, white line engraving, holding a glowing orb
10schools of decision theory, one engine 1.1 Mpublic notices and awards read 205 000passages of knowledge, maintained nightly 2 006agent runs logged, every one kept
#1 · The instruments

Measure.

Every school of decision theory confronted on the same case. Disagreement between methods is not noise: it is the most honest information a decider will ever receive.

#2 · The assault

Stress.

Adversarial audit, weight sensitivity, counterfactuals. A decision that cannot survive our own assault has no business surviving a judge, a board, or an opposing counsel.

#3 · The document

Trace.

Every award, every arbitration leaves the laboratory argued and sourced. A decision is not finished when it is made. It is finished when it can be explained.

The fields

Where error costs more than rigor.

The laboratory is generalist by design: its material is the consequential decision, whatever the sector.

Public procurementInternational tradeInstitutional strategyAugmented operations
A theodolite aimed across a valley, white line engraving
The survey
Heavy ocean swell, white line engraving on emerald A three-masted merchant ship rocking on the swell

A decision worth millions deserves at least the rigor we grant a load-bearing wall.

From the manifesto →
The instrument · the weighted sum

S(a) = Σᵢ wᵢ · xᵢ(a)▍

Every criterion, weighted, summed : the first gesture of the craft
A harbor crane swinging a chest over the dock at dawn, white line engraving
The bulletins

What the laboratory has published.

The laboratory practices what it sells. Our own choices pass through our own engine.

The studio
What the house forges →